Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.248991 10.790581 12.475560 14.449462 16.693672 19.160961 22.073829
2026-01-18 6.670150 8.759124 11.281025 14.527435 18.570897 23.414520 29.626229
2026-01-25 4.991261 7.219915 10.134886 14.176761 19.577589 26.479824 35.890842
2026-02-01 3.886818 6.112733 9.230420 13.831464 20.346058 29.120061 41.683011
2026-02-08 3.038281 5.160272 8.323389 13.259448 20.614521 30.982688 46.465284
2026-02-15 2.436186 4.443999 7.613234 12.815363 20.928767 32.835646 51.280556
2026-02-22 2.135046 4.144376 7.476410 13.186274 22.439848 36.482429 58.903967
2026-03-01 1.894085 3.897741 7.376663 13.579327 23.989322 40.271889 66.984591
2026-03-08 1.568600 3.435471 6.838395 13.162459 24.167572 41.923618 71.869508
2026-03-15 1.319889 3.069513 6.410201 12.866450 24.488225 43.786126 77.169734
2026-03-22 1.227028 2.997724 6.508938 13.512519 26.465377 48.470077 87.306836
2026-03-29 1.122579 2.881633 6.503690 13.957340 28.113128 52.701818 96.949730
2026-04-05 0.976138 2.659066 6.283405 14.021432 29.180503 56.200575 105.926355
2026-04-12 0.844418 2.445930 6.057176 14.060478 30.235819 59.819272 115.485983
2026-04-19 0.704081 2.178188 5.668369 13.712650 30.506998 62.050138 122.773664
2026-04-26 0.588338 1.943698 5.311217 13.375975 30.750443 64.227524 130.093212
2026-05-03 0.479842 1.698961 4.884250 12.820375 30.475951 65.388189 135.603596
2026-05-10 0.396358 1.502225 4.536431 12.389254 30.402610 66.906555 141.855860
2026-05-17 0.360586 1.442411 4.526826 12.749280 32.061280 71.939486 155.117256
2026-05-24 0.329569 1.389697 4.526792 13.130845 33.799807 77.248443 169.233478
2026-05-31 0.274618 1.238585 4.228470 12.726160 33.719993 78.835922 176.117972
2026-06-07 0.231931 1.117094 3.990142 12.438829 33.874303 80.907516 184.083289
2026-06-14 0.220262 1.110497 4.091915 13.065987 36.249609 87.838647 202.326330